Government financial management – Delivered in Parliament 13 Nov 2013
Mr Pallas (Tarneit) — Another matter of public importance (MPI) has been brought to this place by the government in another effort to commend itself for the very little that it has done in this state. Labor welcomes the Standard & Poor’s decision not to downgrade Victoria’s credit rating; however, we do not accept that it is as a result of this government’s capacity to manage the economy. We certainly will not commend the government for its fiscal management.
It is management that has effectively driven up state debt, increased the tax burden on ordinary Victorians, discouraged private investment in our state and eroded opportunities for ordinary people to find jobs. In comparison with the Labor government, members of the coalition government have been attempting to deflect responsibility for its own economic failings by claiming that Labor left it with a structural deficit. That is simply nonsense; absolute poppycock.
Labor achieved an operating surplus in every one of 10 budgets that we handed down between 2001 and 2010-11.
In fact Victoria’s average operating result between 2000 and 2010 was over $1 billion per annum. In 2012-13 the Victorian government recorded an operating surplus of $316 million. In 10 years of government the only time that Labor returned a surplus as small as that was 2008-09, at the height of the global financial crisis. Given how smug the Treasurer is about a $316 million surplus in 2012-13, can you imagine how insufferable he would be if he managed to get near a decade’s worth of average surpluses of $1 billion?
Labor also achieved a AAA credit rating from both Moody’s Investors Service and Standard & Poor’s when it was in office. However, Labor knows there is more to responsible financial management than simply not losing the credit rating you inherited from your predecessors. That is why, in a decade of AAA credit ratings, we never thought the achievement of this baseline of competence was worth dedicating an entire debate to a matter of public importance or patting ourselves on the back for doing our job.
We are told the object of sound financial policy is to provide a solid platform for jobs growth and improved services and infrastructure for Victorian families and businesses. Labor’s fiscal management did exactly that. The Napthine government’s fiscal management does not.
Let us have a look at its record on jobs, for example, and what a pathetic record it is. It is an indictment of a government so obsessed with its own importance that you could almost start an arbitrage on political incompetence based on this government’s perceptions of itself. If this government could be bought for what it is actually worth and sold for what it thinks it is worth, someone would make a fortune. There would never be a deficit in this state if its ego was used as collateral.
If the people of Victoria saw the way this government wastes the time of the Parliament on talking itself up, putting down the efforts of its predecessor and not building a base from which Victoria can properly go ahead, they would be ashamed of this place.
The jobs data released last week shows the Napthine government’s fiscal policy is failing in its objectives. Labor created an average of 60 000 jobs per year for every year that it was in office — 60 000 jobs a year over 11 years. In the Napthine government’s entire term so far, how many jobs has it managed in three years?
It has managed 73 000 jobs, and more than 50 000 of those jobs are part time. I say to government members: congratulations, pat yourselves on the back, and bring forward another MPI saying how awesome you are!
The government is achieving about a third of what the previous government was achieving, and it thinks it is good for doing it. Today 40 000 more people are unemployed in Victoria than were unemployed when this government came to office. The population is increasing, yet we have a pathetic record when it comes to employment.
When the coalition came to office Victoria’s unemployment rate was 4.8 per cent. In October it reached 5.9 per cent.
In parts of regional Victoria things are even worse. For example, according to the most recent federal data the unemployment rate in Maryborough is over 11 per cent. Perhaps the most alarming thing, though, is Victoria’s youth unemployment rate. We heard so much from the previous opposition, now government, about how everything should be about jobs, jobs and more jobs.
However, now that it has come to government it has been all about self-praise and self-congratulation for an underwhelming and underperforming government. The government is more obsessed with demeaning the legacy of those who came before it than it is with striking out and providing some credible achievements for the people of Victoria.
At a time when Victoria leads mainland Australia with a youth unemployment rate of 18.9 per cent — the highest level of youth unemployment in this nation, with the exception of Tasmania — this government thinks it is appropriate for it to pat itself on the back for its performance in youth unemployment.
Fewer young people are working in Victoria than at any time since 2009. Job opportunities for young people are not just scarce, they are getting more scarce. Victoria has the lowest youth participation rate in Australia. Only 48.7 per cent of our young people are in the labour force, compared with the national average of 52.5 per cent.
These are not just statistics concocted for the purposes of a political point. This is a human tragedy slowly unfolding within this state. These figures represent young people who ultimately will constitute the aspiration and hope for the future. Their future is being effectively diminished and demeaned by a government that thinks it has done a good job on jobs, even though its achievement is about a third of that of the last term of the previous government and is substantially worse than its achievements over its 10 full budgeted years in government. It represents a great lost opportunity for this state, yet this government thinks it should waste the Parliament’s time congratulating itself.
As I said, the Napthine government has cut the opportunities for young people in government-supported apprenticeships in Victoria by over 12 000 and has cut $1.2 billion from our vocational education system.
If you are a young person who thinks it would be worthwhile getting an education, the Napthine government has a way to keep you from getting a higher education, and that has a direct impact upon the productive performance of the state. If you are a young person who wants a job, it is notable that the Napthine government has managed to pride itself on having the highest youth unemployment in mainland Australia.
If you are a young person who maybe wants to get access to a first home owner grant, you will find that your opportunities for participation in that market have been profoundly reduced as a direct consequence of this government’s actions.
When the pre-election budget update was released in 2010, Victoria’s net debt under Labor stood at $8 billion. When the coalition released its first financial document from government, the 2011-12 budget update, it promised that debt would peak at $15.8 billion this financial year.
Today it is over $19.8 billion, and it is forecast to rise even further, even without the enormous cost of the east-west link should this government go ahead and sign contracts without allowing the people of Victoria to have a say. The people of Victoria will remember the dishonesty of this government before the last election in denying any plans for an east-west link and now encumbering the economy and community with tolls, availability charges and debt.
This is a debt-tripling government that thinks it is smart to put in place arrangements that the community has no say in. This is a government that has effectively turned its back on the people of Victoria.
The Napthine government is determined to squeeze every last cent out of the people of Victoria to prop up its surplus. Public agencies that were created to deliver essential services to Victoria are now victims of routine shakedowns by this Treasurer. Since coming to office the coalition has taken $340 million in dividends from the Victorian WorkCover Authority.
WorkCover was established to ensure that people would be able to work and do business while minimising the risk of catastrophic injury that could ruin careers and lives. It was not created as a cash cow for lazy treasurers looking for revenue sources. The former government knew this and reinvested the accumulated surplus from WorkCover in six successive premium reductions.
All told, the Napthine government has ripped $2.5 billion in dividends from publicly owned corporations since it came to office. In 2012-13 alone the coalition received $1.17 billion in dividends. This is five times as much in dividends — in raids on cash cows that have a public utility to serve — as in Labor’s last year of government. Without these dividends the government would have a deficit of some $700 million.
The reality is that this government would have run a $700 million deficit but for the fact of its obscene willingness to raid dividends from corporations at a level of 500 per cent more than the previous Labor government. When it comes to fiscal incompetence you would have to go a fair way to beat this mob. With debt and unemployment up, this is a government that has no idea but likes to pat itself on the back for its few ideas, no matter how contorted or wrong they are. These kinds of revenue grabs are a hallmark of the Napthine government’s fiscal management, and the government stands accused for that. But there is no such thing as free money.
Every time the government does this it costs Victorians through higher water bills, higher WorkCover premiums, higher vehicle registration fees and deteriorating services.
A few weeks after Labor came to office in 1999 we sat down with Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s. We showed them our election commitments and the detailed costings that underpinned them. We explained how we intended to deliver them without driving up debt or increasing taxation. Because we had been so thorough, both agencies decided that Victoria’s AAA credit rating would remain stable.
The same is simply not true of the coalition government. Its costings were shoddy and only released at the 11th hour before the election to avoid even superficial scrutiny. The result of this slipshod work has seriously cost the Victorian taxpayer.
The Public Accounts and Estimates Committee inquiry into the 2013-14 budget estimates concluded that the government’s election commitments have blown out by $872 million, so it cannot talk to us about financial management. By its own admission, its capital commitments have blown out by 36 per cent.
I do not intend to go through all the deficiencies of this government’s proposals, but it is clear that this is a government more intent on praise than on action.